Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 29 June 2026 at 18:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 61 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 29 at 12:16PM EDT until June 29 at 2:15PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI
An estimated 15,218 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- June 6, 2026 · score 34 · 11.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 12 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 40 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 45.1196, -85.4361 |
| Nearest City | Traverse City (43 km) |
| Population Exposed | 15.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-29T16:16:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.687f0907b5cee971847e439b987c6774 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Leelanau, MI; Antrim, MI |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued June 29 at 12:16PM EDT until June 29 at 2:15PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI |
| Expires | 2026-06-29T14:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Gaylord MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.687f0907b5cee971847e439b987c67745db2c770.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe31cd7ae1f1031521b175505d3aff1d03218db4.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 175 |
| Spc Location | Alba |
| Spc County | Antrim |
| Spc State | MI |
| Spc Comments | (APX) |
| Iem TypeSummary | H |
| Iem Magnitude | 1.5 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | Alba |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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